§ Convexity for Independent Analysts

The research surface for people who still cite primary sources.

Sell-side got a terminal. Independents got a browser bookmark bar. Convexity is what happens when the filings, transcripts, insider flow, macro, and AI memo drafting live on one surface — built for the second group.

§ I— The gap

The job of the independent analyst hasn't changed much in twenty years. Read the 10-K. Diff the risk factors against last year's. Listen to the conference call. Check the insider ledger. Triangulate macro. Write it up with citations a reader can actually follow back. It is, still, a craft.

The tools around that craft, however, have calcified into an absurd stack: EDGAR full-text search that surfaces the wrong filing; PDF tables you copy into Excel by hand; transcript archives you scroll through looking for one quote you half-remember; a Form 4 feed in one tab, a FRED chart in another, FOMC speeches in a third; and, at the end of the day, a Google Doc where every citation gets re-pasted manually so the footnotes will hold.

Sell-side analysts got a terminal to collapse that stack. Independents got, effectively, a bookmark bar. Convexity is built for the second group — not as a Bloomberg replacement, but as a research surface designed around the actual shape of the work.

The job hasn't changed — read the 10-K, diff it against last year, listen to the call, check the insider ledger, triangulate macro, write it up. The tools have.
— the thesis of this page, in one line

§ II— One morning, two workflows

A typical morning, set against the same morning on Convexity.

A typical morning

  • EDGAR full-text search for the 10-Q you actually want
  • Copy tables out of a PDF and into Excel by hand
  • Scroll a transcript provider for one quote you remember
  • Cross-check a Form 4 against last quarter's cluster
  • Open a second browser for FRED, a third for FOMC speeches
  • Re-paste every citation into a Google Doc that night

The same morning on Convexity

  • EDGAR XBRL normalised across 10-K / 10-Q / 20-F periods
  • 8-K timeline with FinBERT sentiment per event
  • Form 4 ledger with cluster and role weighting
  • FedSpeak NLP for policy tone and language shifts
  • Patent filings indexed by assignee, hiring signals alongside
  • Draft memo with every claim cited back to its source

§ III— The analyst's day

A research timeline, with the tools collapsed in.

What the surface actually looks like, hour by hour, when the stack is consolidated into one workspace rather than twelve tabs.

08:00

Morning brief: overnight filings, insider moves, macro prints.

Auto-curated at /brief.

09:30

Open: scan the 8-K timeline with FinBERT sentiment for every name on the watchlist.

One surface, one scroll, sentiment attached per event.

11:00

Cross-check: Form 4 cluster vs. insider ledger vs. 10-K risk-factor diff.

Three sources, one ticker page, one thesis forming.

14:00

Deep dive: XBRL compare across periods, plus patent and hiring cross-reference.

Live at /sec.

16:30

Memo draft: AI stitches primary sources into a cited draft.

Haiku / Sonnet / Opus routed by tier at /research.

19:00

Distribute: shareable memo link (Pro Plus) or PDF export.

Send a clip, not a file. Citations resolve back to the exact paragraph.

§ IV— Workflows, in detail

Three surfaces, each designed around a specific part of the craft.

Filings

10-K to model in an afternoon.

Every SEC filing a company has ever made is indexed and XBRL-parsed, so three periods of income statement can be normalised and compared without anyone touching Excel. 8-Ks are laid out as an event timeline with FinBERT sentiment scoring — you see inflection points, not a stack of PDFs.

Pro Plus accounts get semantic search across the entire filing corpus, powered by Voyage embeddings. "Find every time this management team described margin pressure in the last five years" becomes a query, not a project. Risk-factor diffs flag additions, deletions, and tone shifts year-over-year — the AI annotates the change, not the paragraph.

Live at /sec /product XBRL normalised Risk-factor diffs

Signals

Insider, transcript, patent, hiring — one ticker page.

An equity thesis rarely lives in the income statement alone. Convexity wires Form 4 insider flow, 13F holdings, congressional trades, USPTO patents, H-1B talent flows, ATS job postings, and transcript search into the same ticker view. The alt-data sits beside the financials rather than inside a separate subscription.

Insider signal intelligence reads transactions with context — cluster detection, officer-role weighting, transaction-type classification. A CEO open-market purchase doesn't look like a 10b5-1 plan sale. FedSpeak NLP layers FOMC speeches, minutes, and FRED series on the same surface, useful for the days your sector thesis is secretly a rates thesis.

Live at /flow /macro Form 4 · 13F Patent + ATS

Synthesis

Memo drafts that cite their sources.

Convexity's AI stack is routed by tier: Claude Haiku on Free, Sonnet on Pro, Opus on Pro Plus, with an OpenAI fallback for uptime. Retrieval runs on Voyage embeddings over the filing corpus, so the model answers from primary sources rather than guessing. Every claim ships with a citation; if the citation isn't there, the claim isn't made.

Pro Plus also includes 20 deep-research runs per month — long-running, multi-source synthesis jobs for the weeks when "read everything on this name" is the actual task. A three-paragraph risk-factor comparison cross-checked against a two-week-old insider cluster becomes one prompt instead of a forty-minute session on EDGAR.

Live at /ai /research Voyage embeddings Haiku · Sonnet · Opus

§ V— Honest comparison

Why not the alternatives?

Convexity does not replace a Bloomberg-class terminal for a rates trader. It doesn't try to. But most independent analysts aren't trading MMDs — they're writing research, and the value delta flips hard.

Bloomberg-class terminals at 10× the price

  • Real-time fixed-income, FX, and OTC pricing you likely don't need
  • Per-seat contracts, annual commits, procurement friction
  • Chat and messaging network effects irrelevant to a solo analyst

Convexity Pro / Pro Plus

  • The filing, insider, macro, and alt-data surface you actually use
  • $29 or $79 per month. Cancel from the settings page.
  • AI memo drafting with citations, which the terminals don't have

Spreadsheets & free tools

  • Free EDGAR has no sentiment layer, no normalised XBRL, no semantic retrieval
  • You end up paying for six micro-SaaS tools that don't talk to each other
  • Every citation is manual; every number lives in a different tab

Convexity Pro / Pro Plus

  • One surface, one ticker page, one bill
  • Pro Plus API access (10,000 calls / month) to feed your own model
  • Shareable memo links on Pro Plus — send a clip, not a PDF

§ VI— What you pay

Pro is the analyst tier. Pro Plus is for when you want the whole stack.

Two tiers, both honest about their quotas. See the full pricing page for every feature flag — the numbers below are the ones that actually shape the workflow.

Pro — for the single-analyst practice

$29/ month · $290/yr

Claude Sonnet · 150 AI queries / mo

Real-time market data, real-time insider flow, 10 watchlists of 50 tickers each, 25 smart alerts, morning brief, command palette, options flow, GEX charts, 3 narrative threads, 2 years of history. Enough surface for a single-analyst research practice.

§ VII— Close

Research faster. Cite everything.

Join the waitlist and we'll drop you onto the same surface we use ourselves. Free tier (Haiku, 10 queries/month, delayed quotes) is real — no card required.

Join the waitlist See pricing