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Convexity

Mimir

Exposure intelligence

If you read it on Bloomberg, you’re already late.

Mimir reads ships, planes, satellites and ground sensors, then traces what they mean to the companies you hold. Every hop names its mechanism and carries its receipt.

  1. 4sensor classes
  2. 10chokepoints on AIS watch
  3. 49countries on GDELT watch
  4. ~5 minfastest refresh
Exposure pathT + 0h
M6.1 quake, western TaiwanUSGS15-minute feed · M4 and up
via seismic regionBcurated region edge · asserted 2026-05-12
TSMCfoundry
via sole-source foundryA10-K supplier disclosure · asserted 2026-03-04
NVDAyour holding
Lands on12.4%of your bookpath grade B weakest hop
illustrative composite · every edge in the live graph carries its own basis and date

Four feeds, one priority queue

The signals that move stocks before the print does.

Revenue follows physical activity by hours or days. Mimir watches the activity.

Maritime chokepoints
10 passages / hourly / AIS via shore receivers
SUEZHORMUZMALACCAPANAMABAB-EL-MANDEBBOSPHORUSTAIWANDANISH STRAITSLOMBOKCAPE
Geopolitical stress
GDELT / 49 countries / 5 categories / hourly
terrorinterstatecivil unresteconomicdiplomatic
Natural hazards
USGS / NASA FIRMS / NASA EONET / NOAA SWPC
quakes M≥4firesstormsspace weather
Live operational
ADS-B / CelesTrak / CISA KEV / GDACS
aircraftsatellitesjamming zonesknown exploits
SourceRefreshTicker mapFail mode
AIS vessel positions (AISStream)hourly rollupshippers, oil, container, dry-bulkdark boxes marked
ADS-B aviation (adsb.lol)~5 minutesairlines, lessors, MROfail-closed
USGS earthquakes~15 minutesfab regions, insurers, utilitiesfail-closed
NASA FIRMS fireshourlyutilities, insurers, agtoken-gated
GDELT eventshourlycountry → sector exposurepartial visible
Satellites (CelesTrak)~2 hoursdefense, satcomN2YO fallback
NOAA space weather~5 minutessatcom, grid, aviationfail-closed

AIS reaches only as far as the relay’s shore receivers. In the week to 2026-10-19 it saw steady traffic at the Danish straits, the Cape and Malacca.

It saw almost none at Bab-el-Mandeb, Suez, Hormuz, Panama, Lombok or Taiwan, and the product marks those No AIS coverage rather than calm.

The print lags the physical signal by hours, sometimes days. Mimir watches the source, not the wire.

How a signal lands

One event, traced from sensor to ticker.

A slowdown in the Malacca Strait is not a headline. It is a vessel count below its usual hour, then a curated map naming who depends on the strait, then your own names moving up. None of it waits for a story.

  1. T + 0h
    The AIS rollup reads the strait

    Vessels inside the Malacca box run at 0.6 of their 28-day baseline for the hour. That ratio is the stress score, published once the baseline holds a week of readings.

    source · AIS hourly rollup · shore receivers via AISStream
  2. T + 0h
    The curated map fires

    The strait’s entry in the transit dictionary maps the slowdown to tickers. Not a string match on “shipping”: a hand-built list of who depends on Malacca, each edge with its reason.

    Malacca slowdown→Singapore refining, Asia-Europe boxes→PSX · VLO · ZIM · FRO
    mechanism · each edge states its reason in-product
  3. T + ~1h
    Your names surface

    The hourly event ledger picks it up. If you hold ZIM, the event lands on your book at the position’s weight. If you only watch it, it joins the radar of events touching your watchlist and board pins.

    surface · held names by weight, watched names by severity · Pro
  4. Later
    The story, if there is one

    A slowdown that never makes the wire still moved your names. One that does finds them already on your board, beside the count that moved first.

    illustrative timeline · the figures are not a live reading

The exposure graph

That path is one edge in a bigger graph.

Under the ranked feed sits a browsable ontology: sources connect to the mechanisms they trip, and mechanisms to the companies they move.

Walk it either way, and every edge carries its receipt: the basis, the source, and the date it was asserted.

Trace any path
why-path / bitemporal as-of
shortest routeevery edge citedreplay a date
Flip to a company
aperture / one company, every angle
13F + ETF ownersinsider & political flowsupply chain
Size the hit
impact scenarios / revenue-at-risk / Pro Plus
low / base / severeanalog movesnext print
Pin your own board
boards / the entities you follow
authorlive connectivityas-of reads

Same intelligence, on a live map.

Browse instead of querying. Atlas is the map mode of Mimir: same feeds, same composite keys, a different question. “What is happening, where” instead of “what is exposed in my book.”

Click a point whose signal is in Mimir’s ledger and you land in Mimir with it selected. When separate anomalies line up, Atlas clusters them into a Situation, with the evidence trail that formed it.

Stacked corrugated shipping containers at night in thin mist, lit from the right by a single amber light
Illustrative composite · Atlas runs in-product as the map mode of Mimir

vs the alternatives

Three places retail traders look first. None of them watch the source.

Twitter / XBloomberg headline tickerNews terminals (RTRS, Benzinga)Mimir
Source of the signalWhoever posts firstReuters / wire desksWire feedSensors / sats / AIS
Median latency to eventHighly variableHours~Minutes after wire~5 min to ~1h, by feed
Ranked by your bookNoNoWatchlist filter onlyExposure-weighted
Mechanism citedNoBuried in bodyNoNamed at every hop
Fail modeEngagement baitBlack boxSilent dropFail-closed, visible
Annual cost$0 – $96$31,980$1,200 – $9,000$348 (Pro, $29/mo)

Competitor list prices retrieved 2026-07-08; Bloomberg list updated 2026-07-22.

Stop scrolling for the next disruption.

Mimir ranks it. Atlas shows you where. Both wired into your watchlist.